Peer-reviewed - Scientific Papers


  • Bachmair, S., Kohn, I., and Stahl, K. (2014) Exploring the link between drought indicators and impacts, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 2, 7583-7620, doi:10.5194/nhessd-2-7583-2014.  |  Abstract
  • Beyene, B.S., Van Loon, A.F., Van Lanen, H.A.J. and Torfs, P.J.J.F., (2014) Investigation of variable threshold level approaches for hydrological drought identification. Natural Hazard Earth Syst. Sci. Disc., 11, 12765–12797, 2014, doi:10.5194/hessd-11-12765-2014. |  Abstract
  • Blauhut V., Gudmundsson, L., Stahl, K. (2015) Towards pan-European drought risk maps: quantifying the link between drought indices and reported drought impacts, Environ. Res. Lett. 10, 014008, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/1/014008. |  Abstract
  • Camuffo, D., Bertolin, C., Doidat, C., Cocheo, C,. Garnier, E., Dominguez, C., Alacaforado, M.J.,. Nunes, M.F. (2013) Western Mediterranean precipitation over the last 300 years from instrumental observations. Climatic Change 117, p 85-101. doi:10.​1007/​s10584-012-0539-9.  |  Abstract
  • Giannikopoulou, A.S., Gad, F.K., Kampragkou, E., Assimacopoulos, D. (2015) Risk-based assessment of drought mitigation options: the Case of Syros Island, Greece. Water Resources Management, 1-15., doi:10.1007/s11269-015-1057-0. |  Abstract
  • Gudmundsson, L., Rego, F. C., Rocha, M. and Seneviratne, S. I. (2014) Predicting above normal wildfire activity in southern Europe as a function of meteorological drought. Environmental Research Letters 9, 084008, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/8/084008. |  Abstract
  • Fleig, A., Tallaksen, L.M., James, P., Hisdal, H., Stahl, K. (2014) Attribution of European precipitation and temperature trends to changes in circulation types. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 11, 12799-12831. doi:10.5194/hess-19-3093-2015 |  Abstract.
  • Harding R.J., Weedon, G.P., Van Lanen, H.A.J. & Clark, D.B. (2014) The future for Global Water Assessment. Journal of Hydrology (518):186–193, doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.05.014. |  Abstract
  • Haro, D., Paredes, J., Solera, A., & Andreu, J. (2012): A model for solving the optimal water allocation problem in river basins with network flow programming when introducing non-linearities. Water Resour Manage 26: 4059–4071, doi:10.1007/s11269-012-0129-7.Abstract
  • Haro, D., Solera, A., Paredes, J., & Andreu, J. (2014) Methodology for drought risk assessment in within-year regulated reservoir systems. Application to the Orbigo River system (Spain). Water Resour Manag 28 (11); 3801-3814, doi:10.1007/s11269-014-0710-3. |  Abstract
  • Kingston, D., Fleig, A., Tallaksen, L.M. & Hannah, D.M. (2013) Ocean-atmosphere forcing of summer streamflow drought in Great Britain. J. Hydrometeor., 14, 331–344. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-11-0100.1Abstract
  • Kingston, D., Stagge, J.H., Tallaksen, L.M. & Hannah, D.M. (2015) European-scale drought: understanding connections between atmospheric circulation and climate-based drought indices. Journal of Climate 28: 505-516. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00001.1. Abstract
  • Kruse, S. & Seidl, I. (2013) Social capacities for drought risk management in Switzerland. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 13(12), 3429–3441. doi:10.5194/nhess-13-3429-2013. |  Abstract
  • Lerma, N., Paredes-Arquiola, J., Andreu, J., & Solera, A. (2013) Development of operating rules for a complex multi-reservoir system by coupling genetic algorithms and network optimization, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 58:4, 797-812. doi:10.1080/02626667.2013.779777. |  Abstract
  • Lerma, N., Paredes-Arquiola, J., Andreu, J., Solera, A., & Sechi, G. M. (2015) Assessment of evolutionary algorithms for optimal operating rules design in real Water Resource Systems, Environmental Modelling & Software, 69, 425-436.  doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.09.024. |  Abstract
  • Lerma, N., Paredes-Arquiola, J., Molina, J. L., & Andreu, J. (2014) Evolutionary network flow models for obtaining operation rules in multi-reservoir water systems. Journal of Hydroinformatics, 16(1) pp. 33-49. doi:10.2166/hydro.2013.151. |  Abstract
  • Machlica, A., Horvát, O., Horáček, S., Oosterwijk, J., Van Loon, A.F., Fendeková, M. and Van Lanen, H.A.J. (2012) Influence of model structure on base flow estimation using BILAN, FRIER and HBV-light models, J. of Hydrology and Hydromechanics 60 (4): 242–251, doi:10.2478/v10098-012-0021-4.Abstract
  • Momblanch, A., Andreu, J., Paredes-Arquiola, J., Solera, A., & Pedro-Monzonís, M. (2014) Adapting water accounting for integrated water resource management. The Júcar Water Resource System (Spain): Journal of Hydrology, 519: 3369-3385. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.10.002. |  Abstract
  • Momblanch, A., Paredes-Arquiola, J., Munné, A., Manzano, A., Arnau, J., & Andreu, J. (2015) Managing water quality under drought conditions in the Llobregat River Basin. Science of the Total Environment, 503-504: 300-318. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2014.06.069. |  Abstract
  • Orlowsky, B. and Seneviratne, S. I. (2013) Elusive drought: uncertainty in observed trends and short- and long-term CMIP5 projections. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 17, 1765-1781. doi:10.5194/hess-17-1765-2013. |  Abstract
  • Orlowsky, B., Hoekstra, A. Y., Gudmundsson, L. and Seneviratne, S. I. (2014) Today's virtual water consumption and trade under future water scarcity. Environmental Research Letters 9, 074007, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/7/074007. |  Abstract
  • Orth, R., R.D. Koster, and S.I. Seneviratne. (2013) Inferring soil moisture memory from streamflow observations using a simple water balance model. J. Hydrometeorology 14 (6), 1773-1790, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-12-099.1.Abstract
  • Orth, R., and S.I. Seneviratne. (2014) Using soil moisture forecasts for sub-seasonal summer temperature predictions in Europe. Climate Dynamics 43 (12), 3403-3418, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2112-x.Abstract
  • Orth, R., and S.I. Seneviratne. (2015) 
Introduction of a simple-model-based land surface dataset for Europe. Env. Res. Lett. 10, 044012. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/4/044012. |  Abstract
  • Orth, R., M. Staudinger, S.I. Seneviratne, J. Seibert, and M. Zappa (2015) Does model performance improve with complexity? A case study with three hydrological models. J. Hydrol. 523, 147-159, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.044.Abstract
  • Pedro-Monzonís, M., Ferrer, J., Solera, A., Estrela, T., & Paredes-Arquiola, J.  (2015) Key issues for determining the exploitable water resources in a Mediterranean river basin. Sci Total Environ  319-328, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2014.07.042. |  Abstract
  • Quevauviller, P., Barceló, D., Beniston, M., Djordjevic, S., Harding, R.J., Iglesias, Ludwig, R.A., Navarra, A., Navarro Ortega, A., Mark, O., Roson, R., Sempere, D., Stoffel, M., Van Lanen, H.A.J., and Werner, M. (2012) Integration of research advances in modelling and monitoring in support of WFD river basin management planning in the context of climate change, Science of The Total Environment, Volume 440, Pages 167–177, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2012.07.055 |  Abstract
  • Silva, J.P., Catry, I., Palmeirim, J.M., Moreira, F. (2015) Freezing heat: Thermally imposed constraints on the daily activity patterns of a free-ranging grassland bird. Ecosphere, 6(7), art119. doi:10.1890/ES14-00454.1  Abstract
  • Stagge, J.H., Tallaksen, L.M., Gudmundsson, L., Van Loon, A.F. & Stahl, K. (2015) Candidate distributions for climatological drought indices (SPI and SPEI). International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.4267. |  Abstract
  • Stahl, K., Tallaksen, L. M., Hannaford, J., and Van Lanen, H. A. J. (2012) Filling the white space on maps of European runoff trends: estimates from a multi-model ensemble. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16: 2035-2047, doi:10.5194/hess-16-2035-2012. |  Abstract
  • Tallaksen, L.M., and Stahl, K. (2014) Spatial and temporal patterns of large-scale droughts in Europe: model dispersion and performance. Geophys. Res. Letters 41(2), 429-434. doi:10.1002/2013GL058573. |  Abstract
  • Van Huijgevoort, M.H.J., Hazenberg, P., Van Lanen, H.A.J., Teuling, R., Clark, D., Folwell, S., Gosling, S., Hanasaki, N., Heinke, J., Koirala, S., Stacke, T., Voβ, F., Sheffield J. & Uijlenhoet, R. (2013) Global multi-model analysis of hydrological drought in the second part of the 20th century (1963-2000). Journal of Hydrometeorology 14, 1535–1552, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-12-0186.1. |  Abstract
  • Van Huijgevoort, M.H.J., Hazenberg, P., Van Lanen, H.A.J., Uijlenhoet, R. (2012) A generic method for hydrological drought identification across different climate regions., Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16: 2437-2451, doi:10.5194/hess-16-2437-2012. |  Abstract
  • Van Huijgevoort, M.H.J., Van Lanen, H.A.J., Teuling, A.J. & Uijlenhoet, R. (2014): Identification of changes in hydrological drought characteristics from a multi-GCM driven ensemble constrained with observed discharge. Journal of Hydrology (512): 421–434, doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.02.060. |  Abstract
  • Van Lanen, H.A.J., Wanders, N., Tallaksen, L. M., & Van Loon, A. F. (2013) Hydrological drought across the world: impact of climate and physical catchment structure, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 17: 1715-1732, doi:10.5194/hess-17-1715-2013Abstract 
  • Van Loon, A.F. and Van Lanen, H.A.J. (2012) A process-based typology of hydrological drought, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16: 1915-1946, doi:10.5194/hess-16-1915-2012. |  Abstract
  • Van Loon, A.F., Van Huijgevoort, M.H.J. and Van Lanen, H.A.J. (2012) Evaluation of drought propagation in an ensemble mean of large-scale hydrological models, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16: 4057–4078, doi:10.5194/hess-16-4057-2012. |  Abstract
  • Van Loon, A. F., Ploum, S. W., Parajka, J., Fleig, A. K., Garnier, E., Laaha, G., and Van Lanen, H. A. J. (2014) Hydrological drought typology: temperature-related drought types and associated societal impacts, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 11, 10465-10514, doi:10.5194/hessd-11-10465-2014. |  Abstract
  • Van Loon, A.F., and Van Lanen, H. A. J. (2013) Making the distinction between water scarcity and drought using an observation-modeling framework. Water Resources Research 49: 1483–1502, doi:10.1002/wrcr.20147. |  Abstract
  • Van Loon, A.F. and Laaha, G. (2014) Hydrological drought severity explained by climate and catchment characteristics. Journal of Hydrology, 526, 3-14 doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.10.059. |  Abstract
  • Van Loon, A.F., Tijdeman, E., Wanders, N., Van Lanen, H.A.J., Teuling, A.J., and Uijlenhoet, R. (2014) How climate seasonality modifies drought duration and deficit, Journal Geophys.Res. Atmos. 119: 4640–4656, doi:10.1002/2013JD020383. |  Abstract
  • Wanders, N. & Van Lanen, H.A.J. (2015) Future discharge drought across climate regions around the world modelled with a synthetic hydrological modelling approach forced by three General Circulation Models. Natural Hazard Earth Syst. Sci, 15, 487–504, doi:10.5194/nhess-15-487-2015. |  Abstract
  • Wanders, N., Wada, Y., and Van Lanen, H. A. J. (2015) Global hydrological droughts in the 21st century under a changing hydrological regime. Earth Syst. Dynam. 6: 1–15, doi:10.5194/esd-6-1-2015.
  • Wong, G., Van Lanen, H.A.J. and Torfs P.J.J.F (2013) Probabilistic analysis of hydrological drought characteristics using meteorological drought [Analyse probabiliste des caractéristiques de la sécheresse hydrologique utilisant la sécheresse météorologique] Hydrological Sciences Journal 58 (2), pp. 253-270. DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2012.753147.
  • Urquijo J, De Stefano L., La Calle A (2015) Drought and exceptional laws in Spain: The official water discourse. International Environmental Agreements. Politics, Law and Economics (accepted).

Project objectives

  • Drought as a natural hazard, incl. climate drivers, drought generating processes and occurrences
  • Environmental and socio-economic impacts
  • Vulnerabilities, risks and policy responses, incl. the further development of drought management plans in support of EU and other international policies